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Impact of
SuperAI on Job Market
Let’s start alphabetically with agriculture. Agriculture is
already getting benefits from AI machines in the form of satellite and drone
imagery to monitor crop health, predicting the appropriate use of fertilizers
and pesticides. This has made a revolutionary improvement in farming and
agriculture as a whole by reducing the dependence on unpredictable natural
patterns and calamities. These predictions, followed with mitigations, have
made agriculture a lot more resilient and efficient. Robots are used for
handling repetitive tasks such as planting, weeding, harvesting, etc., thereby
reducing human dependence on farm animals and making these tasks scalable and
fast. SuperAI applied in agriculture (let’s call is SuperAgriAI) can tie up the
remaining loose ends with these operations where humans are involved, such as
analyzing the data and recommending and then deciding which action to take.
Managing communication and business operations can also be automated with
SuperAgriAI. It would further improve the precision in agricultural techniques,
optimizing the crop yields and reducing other costs. Integrating and automating
the communication between all these separate entities would leave precious
little work for the farmers to the point of making their existence almost
redundant. Imagine a scenario where robots are working in the field, doing all
the farming operations as directed by the central computer, a part of
SuperAgriAI. This SuperAgriAI has access to satellite images as well as control
of a group of drones to obtain all the details about the health of the crop and
surrounding environment. The SuperAgriAI knows all the details about the soil
and weather patterns for the given area, chooses the best category of crops to
plant, and employs the robots that are doing all the necessary operations such
as watering and application of pesticides, etc. at precisely the right time in
precisely the right amount. All the robots are also equipped with sensors to
detect any malfunction, and SuperAgriAI can work out the necessary maintenance
schedules for them to keep them operating optimally. SuperAgriAI communicates
with the other businesses that provide all the necessary goods and makes the
financial transactions as needed, ultimately keeping the entire platform of
food production operating flawlessly end to end. In the same way, this
SuperAgriAI can control livestock management with robots that are specialized
for that work. With all the modern handling of farm animals, we are treating
them as commodities anyway, so their complete management through SuperAgriAI
would be a natural culmination of modernization. The same concept can be
applied to fishing. SuperAgriAI can control fully automated vessels carrying
all the fishing equipment along with various types of sensing equipment such as
radar and sonar for locating the ideal place to fish. SuperAgriAI can apply the
fishing nets with pinpoint accuracy to catch only the desired amounts of fish
without inflicting any collateral damage. With continuous feed from the weather
system, it would also choose the best times to send the vessel. Being operated
strictly by robots, there is no need to account for time of the day or track
the holiday schedule or even plan for any meal breaks. Fisherman’s days are
numbered as well. This still leaves people like horticulturalists or fishery
biologists who are doing research with crops and plants and fishes, etc. In the
near term, their jobs seem to be fairly secure. It is quite an open-ended job
that tracks the current operations of agriculture and fishing, essentially
getting all the inputs from SuperAgriAI and trying to find ways to do better.
Another related job area is that of forestry. Foresters are professionals who
manage forests. They use their knowledge of forest ecology, wildlife biology,
and forestry practices to plan and implement projects that protect, secure, and
manage forests. A majority of their field work can be taken up by robots and
SuperAgriAI, leaving a small chunk of jobs that strictly focus on research.
Landscapers use their expertise in plants to create innovative and beautiful
landscapes. Considering SuperAgriAI would have all the necessary knowledge
about the plants with robots to do the manual work, landscapers would also need
to look elsewhere. However, it would still be an open question as to who would
create and manage this SuperAgriAI. Currently the technology required to create
SuperAgriAI is only available with top tech companies in Silicon Valley, but
the subject matter expertise lies with other agricultural companies. Whoever
takes the first step is likely going to get a head start. Business is an
extremely broad category that likely provides the most jobs in the modern
world. In its overarching sense, all the categories can be grouped under
business, but we will look at it from a narrower interpretation to separate
different fields for dedicated evaluation.
From a financial
perspective, SuperAI in business (let’s call it SuperBizAI) is going to
provide a plethora of tools to manage the accounting and payrolls type
functions. Let’s look at the top job profiles in this area. Accountants are
responsible for creating and maintaining the financial records of a company.
They also prepare financial statements and track income and expenses. There can
be accounts specialized in subareas such as audit, tax, and financial planning.
The entire profile of accounts can be fully automated with SuperBizAI with very
little risk. It is only matter of current accounting applications to mature to
the level that big organizations can trust them with full responsibility.
Again, the tech giants have a huge head start in this area as well. Other than
accountants, there are roles such as auditors, payroll clerks, tax preparers,
etc. and these roles are also on the path to becoming extinct with SuperBizAI
ready to replace. Banking is another prominent area in the business domain. Key
operations that are involved in banking include customer service, financial and
investment consulting and transactions, credit and risk management. ATMs or
automated teller machines were the first entry of machines into this area, and
they have already reduced the workforce required for managing basic “teller”
type of activities. SuperBizAI can take it a step further by providing
automated experiences for human-like interactive customer service. This has
been a huge bottleneck in recent years where the pre-programmed automated bots
are extremely limited in functionality and can annoy customers more than
helping them. ChatGPT like interfaces can change the landscape drastically. The
algorithms provided by SuperBizAI can tackle even more advanced banking
activities such as loan and mortgage consulting, investment consulting.
SuperBizAI can easily personalize all the banking requirements for each
individual customer by providing in-home interactive experience. Once realized,
it would eliminate the need to have local branches for any bank (only ATMs
would need to be placed in strategic locations). The central office can handle
the worldwide operations in a fully automated manner. This entire area is now
on the verge of extinction from the perspective of job prospects. Along with
banking and financial businesses, the other consulting activities are also on
track to become obsolete as SuperBizAI with its vast repertoire of knowledge of
laws and rules and past events can provide personalized consultations, analyses
better than any individual. Hierarchy of Roles and People Management in the
business domain, there are job profiles based on different industrial sectors
and applications, but there are also different job profiles based on the
hierarchy of the jobs in a given company. The tree of hierarchy starts from the
CEO or president at the top and then goes down to upper-level management to
mid- to lower-level management all the way to individual contributors. Each
company may have a different relative structure, but the roles of individual contributors
and managers are industry standard along with top executives. So far, we have
looked at mostly the individual contributor type roles in businesses, where
SuperBizAI can play a role, but as we go up the chain of management, there are
additional job responsibilities. Mid-level managers certainly need subject
matter expertise, but on top of that, it is also important for these roles to
have good people management skills. This area has been studied heavily in
recent years and there are books that discuss these aspects philosophically as
well as based on surveys. One particular book I would like to mention in this
context is First break all the rules: What the world’s greatest managers do
differently by Marcus Buckingham and Curt Coffman. The findings in this book
are based on one of the largest surveys ever conducted in this area that
included real people managers from a variety of different industries. The
survey included over 80,000 managers and it was conducted by Gallup. One of the
key findings from the survey was that there exists no constant set of golden
rules that each manager needs to follow, rather there were entirely
contradictory behaviours found in managers that were all extremely successful
at their job. Five aspects came out at the top that most successful managers do
well: focus on strengths, set clear expectations, create positive work
environment, delegate effectively, and hold employees accountable. The job of
people management is something that is never associated with machines so far and
it was quite appropriate given the limitations of the machines in human-like
interactions. However, with SuperBizAI lurking on the horizon, things are quite
different now. With such extensive studies stating the top targets for
mid-level managers, SuperBizAI can tackle this task and likely tackle it like
no human can ever dream to. When SuperBizAI takes the role of a mid-level
manager, the issue of subject matter expertise is automatically taken care of.
Another and even more critical advantage is that SuperBizAI does not need to be
paid like typical managers. It would be purchased as a service by the entire
organization with annual fees and those fees would be substantially less than
what the organization would have to pay for the management. Now, we need to
look at all the tools that SuperBizAI can have at its disposal for people
management. It can easily be empowered with continuous monitoring of the
employees during work hours. This is something that a human can never have due
to obvious invasion of privacy, but machines are not measured with the same
standard and monitoring the activities of employees during their work hours by
machines is generally not considered as overly intrusive. Already, in many
places, there are surveillance cameras tracking employee activities. Some
privacy issues can be involved in such monitoring in the new hybrid work
culture if the work is happening at home, there can be innovative ways to
circumvent those. With full information about the employees’ active work and
the results that they have produced, SuperBizAI can make an impartial and
unbiased evaluation of the employees quite likely far more accurately than any
human. Historical data around the working hours and results produced from
employees can easily be used to identify their strengths and weaknesses,
enabling the SuperBizAI to set the right expectations for the future and also
delegate the work optimally. The monitoring would also help in identifying any
roadblocks encountered by the employees in real time and immediate action could
be taken to mitigate them. Identification of strengths and weaknesses coupled
with aspirations of the employees around their future career can help provide
customized recommendations to them on what can be improved/changed. Even the most
capable and successful managers are still humans and are prone to unconscious
biases that are inevitable when dealing with all the reporting employees,
meaning they cannot treat all the employees equally or fairly. However, this is
not true for machines. With the possible lack of any type of unconscious
biases, they can provide 161 perfectly objective treatments to all the
employees. This inherent fairness in the operation of machines would
automatically cultivate a strong positive atmosphere in the team. One need not do
anything to please their manager. One need not worry about truly expressing
oneself about creating any conflict. All one needs to do is complete the job
that is given, and there would be assurance that they will be rewarded solely
based on that. Furthermore, SuperBizAI can operate in parallel and can be
omnipresent, thereby making itself available to all the reporting employees all
the time. This would inculcate a strong sense of caring in the minds of the
employees and also enable even more flexible working hours. Typically, all the
mid-level managers reach this level by first being in the role of individual
contributors. So, as they are leading a team, the company as such is losing
that particular individual resource from the perspective of the work they can
do as an individual contributor. Thus, completely eliminating the mid-level
management through extensive use of SuperBizAI can provide a win-win situation
for all the companies. The experienced individuals can continue to grow in
their career and be more impactful in the decision-making process and leading
the projects, but people management aspect can be left for SuperBizAI. There
are other more social aspects to the people management such as coaching and
mentoring. However, they can be handled independently with either SuperBizAI or
some dedicated personnel as needed that are either subject matter experts or
experts in psychology. Another task that also falls in the buckets of mid-level
management is planning. Planning for short- and long-term goals as per the
direction the overall organization is moving toward. In this task, SuperBizAI
can potentially generate a list of options that can get augmented and voted on
by the senior people in the team to finalize the plan. Building mature software
that can take up roles of mid-level management seems like a nascent area for
new startups at the time of writing this book. Once again, all the tech giants
can have a head start in this matter as they already have a multitude of
existing positions that they can replace and a deep know-how in software
development. It is important to note that there can be a strong potential
pushback against this in the early stages from all the existing mid-level
managers that each organization would have to work out in their own way. This
can actually help the upcoming startups to take a lead. As the application
matures, it can work its way up the chain in the management, leading to
top-level management as well. However, replacing the personnel at the top is an
entirely new concept and can be further along the road. Chief executives of an
organization are the primary decision-makers with respect to the direction the
entire organization is going to move forward and as such is not a very directly
replaceable attribute for the SuperBizAI. However, there are still some pros to
consider. For example, being true to company mission and vision all the time
may not be possible for humans. Even these executives are humans, and they are
prone to human weaknesses, such as
(1) overconfidence: Top executives might become overly
confident in their decisions and strategies, leading them to underestimate
risks and make hasty choices without properly assessing potential drawbacks.
(2) Confirmation Bias: Top executives may seek out information
that confirms their existing beliefs and opinions, disregarding contradictory
data. This bias can lead to poor decision-making and missed opportunities.
(3) Lack of Adaptability: In a rapidly changing business
environment, executives who are resistant to change or new ideas might find it
challenging to adapt their strategies to evolving circumstances.
(4) Overlooking Ethics and Compliance: A lack of attention
to ethical considerations and regulatory compliance can lead to reputational
damage, legal issues, and decreased stakeholder trust.
(5) Difficulty with Feedback: Top executives who are not
open to constructive criticism and feedback may miss opportunities for
improvement and fail to address organizational issues.
(6) Poor Communication Skills: Ineffective communication can
hinder top executives’ ability to convey their vision, motivate employees, and
align the organization toward common goals.
(7) Burnout and Stress: Top executives often face high
levels of stress and pressure, and if not managed properly, this can lead to
burnout and impact decision[1]making.
(8) Hubris: An excessive ego or sense of entitlement can
lead to decisions that prioritize personal interests over the well-being of the
organization and its stakeholders.
(9) Groupthink: Top executives who surround themselves with
like-minded individuals and discourage conflicting opinions can create an
environment of groupthink, which limits creativity and innovation.
(10) Failure to Empower Employees: Top executives who do not
empower and support their employees may stifle initiative and prevent the
organization from harnessing its full potential.
Each and every aspect of these weaknesses can be
categorically avoided with proper configuration of the SuperBizAI that is going
to replace the top executives in an organization. On top of that, all the most
senior people in the company can participate in voting on the key decisions
whose options would be curated by SuperBizAI. The voting can also be opened to
all the employees of the company or even to all the stockholders of the company
with adaptive weighting of the votes to truly create a transparent atmosphere
and give a real sense of involvement to all the employees and stockholders in
the company operations. Especially for the large publicly traded companies,
from the stockholders’ perspective, a CEO or any top executive should be
entirely focused on the betterment and growth of the company all the time even
during their off-work activities, which may not be humanly possible. However,
SuperBizAI does not have such limitations. The process of replacing the
management chain can begin at the bottom and as the process matures, it can
grow all the way till all the managers are replaced with SuperBizAI all the way
to the CEO. All the humans would serve as individual contributors, with
appropriate levels of seniority. Humans can now relinquish the aspects that
contradict with their personality and stay free to live their non-work life the
way they want in a true sense. Even the most senior personnel need not worry
about the public image, as that part would be left for SuperBizAI, and which
can provide an exemplary performance in that role. Impact on Jobs with Varied
Skill Levels Moving to specific roles of individual contributors, they can vary
from less skilled and labour-intensive factory workers to highly skilled
workers such as actuaries, pharmacists, lawyers, software engineers,
scientists, and doctors. The numbers of most labour-intensive jobs in
engineering and construction industry have already been reduced with heavy use
of robotic machines. Imagine a construction site for building a high riser. In
the early days of automation, hundreds of individuals would be required to
handle numerous labour-intensive jobs at such sites. However, with the availability
of heavy machinery such as cranes, excavators, and material handling robots,
that number reduced by order of magnitude. Robotic systems can help
prefabricate most of the components off-site and assemble them with precision
on-site. Addition of computer-assisted 3D printing can create complex
architectural elements and building components with far more accuracy with
further reduction in semi-skilled workers needed for crafting intricate
designs. Use of specialized robotic tools can handle entire demolition jobs,
minimizing the workforce and reducing the risk to human workers as well as
increasing efficiency. Drones and robotic surveying equipment can collect
accurate data on construction sites, eliminating the need for manual surveys
and further improving accuracy. Robotic bricklaying systems and concrete
pouring pumps can accelerate the other manual steps in construction, further
reducing the workforce needed. With remote and virtual reality-assisted
operations, humans need not even be physically present at the work sites but
can stay at their homes or other favorite places and can handle or monitor all
the machinery using virtual reality devices. Most of these devices are still
classified as traditional AI. With SuperAI powered robots, the requirement for
human presence would reduce further, but will likely still not completely
vanish in the near term. If traditional AI reduced the workforce from few
hundreds to few tens, SuperAI is poised to reduce it to only a handful and that
too operating from remote locations. All these improvements are helpful in
increasing the efficiency and accuracy of the process and reducing risk and
hazards, but they are going to create a huge void in terms of the number of
jobs along the way. The landscape of skilled jobs is not much different.
Software engineering is a niche and highly skilled type of workforce that grew
in the late twentieth century with exponential growth of computers. A software
engineer is like any other engineer at its core. All the apps, websites, and
programs you use on all the digital devices such as computers, tablets, or
smartphones are created by software engineers. Software engineers write the
instructions that make these devices and programs work. Think of a software
engineer as a builder of digital things. They use special coding languages to
write lines of instructions that tell computers what to do. These instructions
can make apps, games, websites, and even things like self-driving cars or
robots work smoothly. Software engineers need to be good at problem-solving,
logical thinking, and paying attention to details just like a mechanical or
civil engineer. Their job involves a lot of creativity too. They figure out how
to make things user-friendly, so you can easily navigate through apps and
websites. They also make sure everything is secure, so your personal
information stays safe while you’re using technology. However, with the growth
of ChatGPT-like SuperAI interfaces that can understand human language, the need
for software engineering is staged to decline dramatically. Anyone can explain
what a piece of software should do in plain English.
If SuperAI can directly translate these instructions from
plain English into computer code, it would grab a critical chunk of
responsibility from software engineers. In principle, a system equipped with
such interface can even perform end-to-end operations in the lifecycle of
software development from writing and testing the machine code, deploying the
application on any desired platform such as PC, Mobile phone, etc., in full
automated fashion, eliminating the need of software engineers. It might take a
decade or two for the SuperAI technology to reach this level of automation, but
the days of software engineers and their niche job profiles are numbered. Let’s
imagine a scenario when SuperAI has completely taken over software engineering.
The Kudos Café One Friday evening in the year 2028, Sophie and Lauren are
having a cup of coffee at their favorite place in downtown Denver, “The Kudos
Café.” They had been very close friends since their childhood and even after
their paths diverted into quite disparate careers – Sophie in technology and
Lauren in wildlife conservation – they kept in touch. Their monthly meetups at
the Café were sacred, an oasis of laughter, deep conversations, and shared
dreams. Today’s evening held a bittersweet air. Sophie had just taken up an
offer for a new job in France. While the excitement of a new beginning bubbled
within her, there was also the pang of leaving behind her monthly tradition
with Lauren. She stirred her coffee, the steam carrying up her mixed emotions.
“You know, I always imagined us growing old together in Denver, sitting here
and complaining about arthritis while sipping our decaf,” Lauren joked, trying
to lighten the mood. Sophie chuckled, “And grumbling about how the young
generation doesn’t appreciate a good, old-fashioned coffee chat.” They both
laughed, but the silence that followed was heavy. Lauren broke it by pushing a
napkin toward Sophie. On it, she had sketched an app’s interface. “Remember our
dream of creating something together? Why not now? A location-based social
network where people can ask questions about new places they move to or travel.
You’ll have first-hand experience in France, won’t you?” Sophie looked at the
drawing, her eyes lighting up. “Like, ‘Where’s the nearest vegan restaurant?’
or ‘Is there a hiking group in this town?’ And locals could answer in real-time?”
“Exactly! And every helpful answer earns them kudos. Maybe they can even redeem
them at cafes like this one, all around the world.” Lauren beamed. Sophie’s
mind raced. “And we could call it ‘Locale’, emphasizing local knowledge and
experience.” The two spent hours discussing the potential app, energized by the
idea. It was the perfect blend of their interests – technology and community –
building for Sophie, and local ecosystems and culture for Lauren. As they were
engrossed in the discussion, the microphone on their table beeped. Lauren and
Sophia had missed the news that the Kudos Café had been recently upgraded with
a new SuperAI functionality of real time software deployment. The SuperAI bot
responded from the microphone, “I have understood your requirements for the
social app and if you like, I can create the real version for you. It would be
$250.” Lauren couldn’t quite believe what she was listening to and was in a
state of awe, while Sophie was bursting with excitement. Sophie responded right
away, “Thank you for the offer. We would like to order it.” Lauren was still not
completely back into reality of what was really happening. The SuperAI bot
responded, “Thank you! We have charged your card on file. We are building and
deploying your app on our servers, and it will be ready for download in a few
minutes.” Then a circle was flashing different colors as SuperAI was building
and deploying the app. In just a couple minutes, there was a QR code displayed
on the screen and the bot responded, “Please scan the QR code to download the
app.” Sophie and Lauren downloaded the app onto their phones and were able to
start asking questions. The SuperAI 167 bot responded, “We are going to make
the app available for all our visitors worldwide and in few days, you can
expect to have more engagement.” Before they knew it, the café was preparing to
close. The two friends left, not with heavy hearts, but with the satisfaction
of making a shared dream true. They might not be in the same city, but they
would be connected more than ever through their shared venture. Months turned
into years, and ‘Locale’ became a sensation worldwide. Every time someone
earned ‘kudos’ on the app, Sophie and Lauren would remember that bittersweet
evening at “The Kudos Café,” grateful for the beginning that sprouted from the
goodbyes. Achieving the capability to replace skilled jobs like software
engineering will be a crowning achievement for SuperAI. Things are somewhat
similar on the hardware side as well. We are approaching the theoretical limits
of semiconductor chip manufacturing technology and we will reach it in under a
decade from 2020. There are multiple factors to consider where SuperAI can
start replacing humans.
(1) Design: SuperAI algorithms can be used to assist in the
design of chips, especially in optimizing chip layouts. For instance, Google
already proved it by using AI in their design of tensor processing units, which
was completed significantly faster than the time typically taken by humans.
(2) Predictive Maintenance: SuperAI can predict when
machinery used in the manufacturing processes is likely to fail or need
maintenance, reducing downtime.
(3) Process Optimization: SuperAI can optimize manufacturing
parameters in real time to enhance yield, reduce waste, and adapt to changing
conditions or materials.
(4) Quality Control: Automated visual inspection systems
powered by SuperAI can quickly and accurately detect defects in chips, often
faster and more reliably than human inspectors.
(5) Supply Chain Management: SuperAI can optimize logistics,
predict supply chain interruptions, and ensure the timely delivery of raw
materials. In spite of these heavy-hitting improvements, there are still some
limitations in the form of complexity and infrastructure.
The chip manufacturing process, especially for advanced
chips with nanometre-scale features, is incredibly intricate. Ensuring the
necessary precision, cleanliness, and consistency in manufacturing processes
may still require human oversight. While SuperAI can handle a lot of tasks,
strategic decisions, unexpected challenges, and certain complex problem-solving
scenarios might still require human intervention. Replacing existing systems
and machinery with SuperAI-powered alternatives would require massive
investments and would be done incrementally. Even if SuperAI systems were
introduced, humans would still likely monitor them to ensure that no
catastrophic failures happen, especially in the initial phases. Thus, while
SuperAI can and likely will play an increasingly central role in chip
manufacturing, the idea of it “completely” taking over might take some time.
Legal Matters Moving on to the other highly skilled areas of law, the role of
lawyers or attorneys is another endangered species in the job market. Legal
research is a key aspect of lawyers’ work and SuperAI (Let’s call this entity
as SuperLegalAI) would be adept at it at the get go through its vast databases
of legal documents, cases statutes, as well as capabilities of identifying
relevant precedents and laws better than most humans. SuperLegalAI can also
review the contracts to identify any clauses that are unusual, missing, or
risky. This can be especially useful in due diligence during mergers and
acquisitions. In litigation, the discovery process often involves reviewing
large volumes of documents to determine what’s relevant to a case. SuperLegalAI
can automate this process, identifying and categorizing documents based on
their relevance with ease. SuperLegalAI can also analyze past case outcomes,
judicial rulings, and other data to predict future legal outcomes. This can
help with advising the clients and shaping their strategies, with no need for
human intervention. Automating administrative tasks such as scheduling,
billing, etc. is another built-in capability with SuperLegalAI where humans
cannot compete. For simple legal services and advice, SuperLegalAI can replace
humans with the help of advanced chatbots with practically unlimited
availability. SuperLegalAI can also help with sentencing based on analysis of
historical cases with a promise of being completely impartial. The real hurdle in
achieving this would lie primarily in reaching the trust levels that currently
experienced lawyers enjoy along with archaic regulations and acceptance
criteria. In the legal field, taking responsibility for actions is a critical
aspect, and current tech companies who would likely produce the software for
169 SuperLegalAI are likely not going to take that for the results provided by
their software. However, it is a great opportunity for startups to leverage
natural language processing (NLP) technology of AI and complement it with
subject matter expertise of top lawyers to provide an entirely automated legal
service to thousands of people. These systems will take responsibility for the
legal actions and recommendations provided by them and truly replace the lawyers.
Only a handful of lawyers would be needed at the top to fine-tune the system,
but the overall workforce needed would practically just evaporate. Along with
lawyers, there are many other roles in the legal sector, but we can focus on
couple of key professions other than lawyer or attorney: paralegal and judge.
Paralegal personnel represent a significant portion in the legal jobs. They
primarily focus on assisting lawyers in their work, which can include
conducting legal research, drafting documents, organizing files, maintaining
records, etc. SuperLegalAI seems to possess the expertise in all these areas by
design and equipped with natural language interface, it is ready to replace
paralegals right away. The role of judges is at the center of the legal system
and is quite critical. Now we shall look at the key responsibilities that fall
on to a Judge and how SuperLegalAI can help in each case:
(1) Adjudication: Judges are required to hear and decide
cases impartially brought before their courts. This involves listening to
arguments from both sides, evaluating evidence, and applying the relevant laws
to the facts of the case. SuperLegalAI in theory can carry out this task, but
the extremely verbose and nuanced nature of language used in legal proceedings
and the capability of SuperLegalAI would have to be tested thoroughly before
declaring it as a replacement for a human Judge. However, of all the cases
presented in front of the judges, a large percentage can be fairly routine and,
in such cases, time from human judges can be spared and SuperLegalAI can take
their place. In general, SuperLegalAI appears to be ready to downsize the
number of judges required in the near future, and drastically reduce them as
the technology matures and develops sufficient trust.
(2) Interpretation of Laws: One of the primary roles of a
judge is to interpret and apply laws, regulations, and precedents. In some
cases, judges may determine the constitutionality of a law. This area appears
to be quite challenging for SuperLegalAI; at least in the near future, we may
have to stay with human judges.
(3) Ensure Fair Proceedings: Judges are responsible for
ensuring that courtroom proceedings are conducted fairly and that the rights of
all parties involved are respected. This includes maintaining order in the
courtroom. This area is a good candidate to be handed over to SuperLegalAI, as
it involves applying standard rules of fairness, and established procedures.
However, there could be tricky situations arising from time to time where a
human judge may need to step in.
(4) Ruling on Motions: Throughout the litigation process,
parties may file various motions (e.g., motion to dismiss, motion for summary
judgment). A judge must rule on these motions based on the law and facts
presented. This area involves direct interpretation of law and procedures and
SuperLegalAI can step in for addressing most rulings.
(5) Sentencing: In criminal cases, once a defendant has been
found guilty, it is usually the judge’s responsibility to determine and impose
an appropriate sentence within the guidelines or limits set by law. This is one
of the most empowering capabilities of the judge; however, it is also one of
the most straightforward when it comes to applying the fair and just
interpretation of law and historical case precedents. SuperLegalAI can perform
this job quite well and give a break to human judges. The sentencing also
involves providing legal explanations of the reasons behind it and
SuperLegalAI, equipped with strong natural language capabilities, can handle
that part quite well.
(6) Legal Research: Even with their vast knowledge, judges
often need to conduct legal research to ensure they’re making informed
decisions, especially in complex or novel cases. SuperLegalAI has this
capability already covered.
(7) Mentorship: Senior or more experienced judges often
mentor newer judges, helping them understand their roles and navigate the
complexities of the judiciary. This is a very human-centric responsibility and
does not fit within the SuperLegalAI framework.
SuperLegalAI would continuously keep itself updated by
adding latest case proceedings to its repertoire, and as such does not need
mentorship. At the same time, it may not be a good candidate to mentor human
judges as well. Thus overall, it is a mixed bag when it comes to replacing the
judges, but as a starting point, SuperLegalAI is definitely equipped with replacing
a significant number of judges, keeping only a fraction of judges to facilitate
the relatively novel situations and to train the SuperLegalAI system itself for
maintaining its accuracy and precision. Education is yet another area that is
ripe to see profound impact with AI. The traditional learning systems where
students go to schools and the teachers teach them various subjects using
blackboard or whiteboard is already becoming outdated with the encroachment of
computer technology. Not too long ago, the entire teaching experience in a
class used to be led by the teacher single-handedly. The teacher would write or
draw on a board, would explain things orally or read from a book and that was
everything. Now, with availability of screens and Internet in class, teachers
can pull up images from the Internet to explain things, they can even pull up
some videos or documentaries that are available on YouTube or other streaming
websites to support their teachings. In some cases, they can even relinquish
the entire teaching session to some videos pre-recorded in class. With more of
such recordings freely available, one might argue whether there is even a need
for students to go to school? All they need is a curriculum and a set of videos
that explain/teach everything in that curriculum and one can learn everything
just sitting at home at whatever pace that is convenient. One can even choose
to watch multiple videos on the same topic explained by different teachers to
suit their specific learning needs. SuperAI for education or SuperEduAI can automatically understand each
student’s specific capabilities and desires using curated tests and create a
custom course for their entire education needs. Then the student would go
through the learning experience on a day-to-day basis.
SuperEduAI can automatically tweak the course based
on the advancement of the student on a periodic basis. All the necessary
concepts would be taught with all the necessary visual and auditory aids. For
the hands-on experimental work, SuperEduAI can use augmented or virtual reality
techniques. It can even simulate other students to give a sense of classroom.
It is also possible to let real students interact with each other through
virtual reality during the class. With this we can really break the boundaries
of region, race, language, country and have a class that is composed of
students across the world learning together. In order for the learning to
proceed at the optimal pace, it is important to have a group of students with a
similar level of intelligence, interests, and knowledge. SuperEduAI can match
all the students across the world on these metrics to create an optimal set of
classes and provide a perfect learning experience that was never possible
before. Such a platform would make pretty much the entire education-related
workforce such as academic advisors, librarians, teachers, and professors at
all levels, along with all the supporting staff irrelevant. Many online
learning platforms are emerging at the time of writing this book, but most of
them are still using real teachers. There is a huge opportunity to circumvent
this and have a fully automated, SuperEduAI-driven platform that would have no
limits on how many students it can support. It would optimize the experience
for each student and make it unbiased and interesting at the same time. In
order to realize this dream of ultimate unified education platform, there are
still a few gaps that need to be filled. The first and foremost is
infrastructure development. All the pieces for creating such infrastructure
seem to be available as of writing of this book, but an organization with
technical know-how or a startup needs to make it a priority to build the
end-to-end platform. Then high-speed and reliable Internet needs to be made
available across the world along with access to devices that would work on the
platform. A secure and scalable cloud infrastructure would power the system
from the backend. There are always some ethical concerns around privacy,
fairness, transparency, and accountability that would need to be addressed as
well. Working in virtual reality may create some emotional stress at times and proper
counseling needs to be available on demand. Having all the interactions in the
virtual world can create a lack of real physical touch, but that can be
addressed by enabling the physical interactions outside of school in the local neighbourhoods
as needed. SuperEduAI-powered virtual platforms can proactively address issues
like bullying and other facets of face-to-face interactions typically
encountered in traditional schools. Engineering We have already looked at the
future of software engineering. However, engineering as such is one of the
oldest job professions and is quite vast in its scope outside of software
engineering, encompassing multiple areas such as civil, mechanical, electrical,
electronics and telecommunication, chemical, aerospace, biomedical, petroleum,
environmental, nuclear, automotive engineering, to name a few. Civil and
mechanical engineering and some of the related areas such as automotive and
aerospace engineering focus on design, analysis, manufacturing, and maintenance
of physical infrastructure and machines. SuperAI for engineering or SuperEngAI,
equipped with chat interface, can understand the needs of customers in plain
English and can automate most of these processes based on learnings from
historical data and in-built engine for analyzing structural mechanics and
database of material properties. SuperEngAI can provide a one[1]stop-shop for all the
engineering requirements. Going one step further, SuperEngAI can also perform
predictive failure analysis and provide a comprehensive maintenance schedule.
With automated communication with robotic machinery, SuperEngAI can implement
the designs into real physical artifacts such as construction of bridges, high
risers, as well as machines, automobiles, and even aircrafts. Most of the
routine jobs for these engineering disciplines are endangered with SuperEngAI
likely providing much better service at much lower cost and higher efficiency
and precision. Only the cutting-edge aspects of all these engineering areas
would still need humans to innovate and build something brand new. In a similar
vein, all the other engineering areas, spanning from electrical, electronics
and telecommunication, chemical, environmental, would be primarily affected in
their routine aspects. All the development that is either established or
incremental can be fully automated with SuperEngAI, but all the areas focusing
on innovation would stay relevant for humans. Engineering is an area of problem
solving at its core, and whenever a problem is encountered that is already
solved and as such can be described in full detail, SuperEngAI can implement it
end-to-end. However, when the problems are new and as a result, vague and not
completely understood, essentially bringing us to the cutting-edge of
innovation, human intervention would be irreplaceable. Healthcare and Medicine
174 Healthcare and medicine are critical areas in human life with a plethora of
job profiles. These jobs can be broadly classified into these broad categories:
(1) Clinical
(2) Technical and Support
(3) Administrative
(4) R&D
(5) Sales and Customer Service.
Let’s look at them in reverse order. Sales and customer
service roles are quite ripe for SuperMedAI where the AI engine can learn from
all the documentation on the medicines and pharmaceutical products and use the
language-understanding capabilities to learn about the sales goals and customer
needs. Then connect with the two pieces of information intelligently to replace
the humans for end-to-end operations. R&D of any sort is always going to be
a niche area that is safe from SuperAI invasion and it applies even in the
healthcare and medicine sector. Administrative area includes roles such as
medical secretary, health information manager, healthcare consultant, and
general admin. All these roles provide services that are quite routine and
require standard subject matter knowledge, which can easily be understood, and
services automated by SuperMedAI. It is a matter of time when having an AI
interface for such services would be accepted as standard practice. Technical
and Support roles are semi-skilled to skilled ones such as medical assistant,
pharmacy technician, surgical tech, dental hygienist, paramedic, etc. All the
subject matter expertise needed for these roles can be easily made available to
SuperMedAI, but most of these jobs require quite intricate and subtle manual
operations. Current advancements in robotic automation can take up these
operations, but specialized versions of robots would have to be built and
certified to be able to fully replace humans. It is definitely a hard reach in
the near term, but days of these roles for human operators are numbered
nonetheless. Then comes the crux of the area with core clinical roles such as
physician or doctor, nurse, dentist, pharmacist, optometrist, physical
therapist, radiologist, chiropractor, podiatrist, and so on. Unsurprisingly
enough, the bulk of the day-to-day work for most of these roles is rather
routine and well established. Typical stages in the operation of these roles
include diagnosis of the issue by conversing with the patient and analyzing the
results from routine tests, followed by recommendation of the medicines or diet
changes or exercises, etc., or recommendation toward another clinical
practitioner. Looking at the itemized steps, SuperMedAI can have an engaging
conversation with patients to learn their symptoms as well as analyse the
results of the routine tests and then use that to correlate with the vast
database of past diagnoses along with patient history and come up with
appropriate recommendations. Looking at the amount of information available to
SuperMedAI and its processing capabilities, it is likely going to outsmart any
human in such situations. Meaning SuperMedAI is already poised to provide
better diagnostic services than most of the human providers right off the bat.
It is only a matter of building the necessary trust with the system when the
service can come into operation. There is yet another and rather important
aspect to this and is around the malpractice aspects. Ideally, SuperMedAI does
not have human weaknesses of bias and unpredictable behaviour, but there is
still a finite chance that it can make a mistake, and, in that case, it can
create a legal situation. The company that provides this SuperMedAI service
would have to establish themselves as the primary responsible party and handle
the legal battles. However, it is a small downside compared to the game
changing benefits of SuperMedAI. Once established, any individual in the world
at any time with access to the Internet and a computer device can have the
option to be diagnosed by the best medical practitioner and get treatment
recommendations at a very reasonable price point. This system can make almost
99% of the physicians’ job obsolete. Only a handful of experts in each of the
fields would have to be employed to manage the capabilities of SuperMedAI and
keep it updated with the innovations in medicines and pharmacy as well as
updated real diagnoses. Only when an entirely new case arises based on the symptoms
and test results a human can intervene and investigate the details. The
subsequent treatment options would include either some form of pills or
physical therapy. The job of pills dispensing can be easily automated as well
and SuperMedAI can automatically ship the necessary medication as part of the
online session or send the prescription to the nearest pharmacy for the
patient. Physical therapy is something that cannot be done online, but
nonetheless the actual process can be automated using robotic machines. Such
entirely automated PT facilities can be established at strategic locations
across the cities that would get patient prescriptions through SuperMedAI. With
biometric identification, the whole end-to[1]end
operation could be made paperless and fully automated. The healthcare industry
is on the brink of significant transformation in the coming years. However, it
may encounter formidable challenges from the present entrenched system, given
the extremely high financial stakes involved. Entertainment and Media Another
important field that supports a significant pie in the job market is that of
media and entertainment. This is also another field that is going to see a
paradigm shift with the advent of tools that SuperAI for entertainment or
SuperEntAI is going to provide. The human advancement in the field of
entertainment and associated areas such as creative and performing arts over
the past thousands of years is one of the true incredible achievements of
mankind where our abstract thinking and imaginative genius is unleashed in
creation of innovative art forms. There may not exist a logic that explains why
a painting from Monet is so mesmerizing or a symphonic composition from Mozart
is utterly divine, but we just feel it the moment we experience it, and it is
applicable universally whether you belong to the same region or not. Same goes
for literary works from Leo Tolstoy, William Shakespeare, Dante, Rabindranath
Tagore, Kahlil Gibran, and the list goes on and on. However, the answer to the
question of whether this talent of creating abstract art forms is exclusive to
humans or is it something that machines like SuperEntAI also can learn is going
to be crucial in determining the future of this field. The current breed of
text generation AI models (first version of ChatGPT) is already creating poems
on demand on the topic of your choice and writing essays and plays that have
humanlike nuances with a touch of comedy, drama, suspense, and so on. Here is
an example of a poem written by ChatGPT (3.5) on the topic of World War II from
the perspective of Nazi Germany. Here is a specific prompt I used: “Write a
4-stanza poem on World War II from the perspective of Nazi Germany.” In the
heart of Europe, an ember sparked, Nazi Germany rose, ambitions marked. With
thundering boots and banners tall, they sought to conquer, to reign over all.
Blitzkrieg unleashed, a storm so fast, Nations trembling, futures cast. But
heroes arose, their spirits high, to face the darkness, to touch the sky. From
Normandy’s shores to Berlin’s fall, The Allies rallied, breaking the wall.
Triumphant they stood, united and free, A world reborn from tyranny’s spree.
Let history’s echo remind us clear, Of the cost of power, of hate’s fierce
sear. In unity and peace, let’s strive to thrive, so liberty and hope forever
survive. The AI clearly understands the context of the question and is able to
gather key artifacts from the war and combine them in a form that rhymes. It
can also sequence the events in chronological order. It starts with pride for
Germans, but later, it changes the tone to praise the allies, ending with
learnings from the war and hope for a better future. It is definitely a good
attempt and can be a good fit with the level of a freshman to sophomore high
schooler. Here is another example of the poem created by the next generation of
ChatGPT, powered by version 4.0. Treading upon a dream, in shadows we stood, A
vision of power, misunderstood. With eagles and swastikas, we rose to the fore,
believing in destiny, a world to restore. Iron and steel, in battle arrayed, A
continent consumed, as pawns we played. Drenched in ambition, our spirits did
soar, blinded by fervour, we knew not the score. Fields of fire, skies dark
with strife, In search of a New Order, countless lost life. Yet whispers of
doubt began to unfurl, As the weight of the world began to swirl. In ruins and
ashes, our dream did fall, A nation’s ambition, a global squall. For in seeking
power, our humanity we sold, A lesson from history, forever retold. As you can see,
there is a marked improvement in the creation of the poem by ChatGPT 4.0. It is
bending the textual way of writing far more adroitly toward creating rhymes. It
also exudes more passion with better use of symbolism, personifications,
allusions, epithets, vivid imagery, and impressions, along with skilfully
placed repetitions to make the poem more engaging. This poem would not be out
of place coming from a grad student in literature. Yet, it is a bit generic in
nature and is still a far cry from some of the great creations such as “Dulce
et Decorum Est” by Wilfred Owen on World War I, or “The Charge of the Light
Brigade” by Lord Tennyson on the British cavalry in the Crimean war. However,
looking at the progress made by these AI models in just a few years, it is not
impossible to contemplate that soon SuperEntAI can write poems that would sit
quite well in the elite neighbourhood. It is rather impossible to know if these
models are capable of understanding the deep emotions behind some of their
creations, but they are surely capable of extracting some form of essence from
all the literary work that has been fed to them during the training. These
examples illustrate the prowess of AI in one aspect of media creation, but AI
is certainly not limited to this one type. The next milestones would be the
creation of paintings or images, original musical compositions. A lot of movies
use computer and AI-generated graphics to create the high-resolution visuals
already and it is only a matter of time when SuperEntAI can create an entire
video or even a full length movie based on a prompt. For example, if the
SuperEntAI can create a video episode on demand with description such as,
“Create a video about half hour long with a little bit of comedy and some
action and sci- fi. Also make sure there is Bruce Willis and Aishwarya Rai in
it.” Imagine what would happen to Hollywood or Bollywood for that matter. Or
consider another description, “Create an original score of symphony orchestra
in the style of Beethoven for fifteen minutes.” If SuperEntAI can create even
passable interpretations from these textual prompts, video streaming services
such as Netflix and HBO and music streaming services such as Spotify and Tidal
would also become irrelevant. Each person can create their own entertainment
media on demand and enjoy it and then even share it with friends. Quite likely,
the creations may not be on par with the original creations in the past at the
beginning, but looking at the pace of progress in the AI models, who is to say
where it will go? Another disturbing trend we can see in the media viewership
today, with the availability of consumption devices such as smartphones and
tablets, is in the form of enormous increase in the viewership of YouTube
videos where people just play and comment on video games or just review and
unbox stuff in front of phone cameras and get millions of views. The
preparation that goes into creating these videos can be in the order of few
hours to even minutes involving a handful of people compared to months or even
years of preparation that goes into making production quality movies involving
hundreds of people. There is absolutely no comparison in production quality and
value in these two genres, but despite that, most movies don’t get the viewership
like these YouTube videos. It just goes on to say that when the media
consumption arenas have moved from movie theaters and opera houses to handheld
devices, the quality of production or the expectation for quality of production
has shrunk as well. In this context, SuperEntAI appears to be an absolute game
changer and can have devastating effects on the entire entertainment industry.
Once again, the companies owning the AI technology are at the forefront of
creating SuperEntAI, unless some bold startups emerging with support from
Hollywood or Bollywood can reach there faster. This discussion also brings up a
rather crucial point about overall media and entertainment and that is what do
we expect to get out of this media consumption? Is it just some form of
entertainment to kill time, relax? Or is it some learning? Do we really care
about the originality of the content? Do we care about the actual people
involved in the creation of the content? There are no easy answers to these
questions and even for the same person the answers can differ from time to
time. Furthermore, the upcoming generations are going to have a whole new set
of expectations from the media with their new and emerging lifestyles with
smartphones and AI as integral parts. However, overall trends in how we answer
these questions will ultimately decide the fate of the media industry and with
that the fate of all the people involved in this industry, including actors,
artists, musicians, photographers, producers, and writers would be determined.
News and Journalism The media sector has another dimension quite tangential to
the entertainment aspect and that is news and journalism. News and journalism
serve a variety of critical functions in society. Their role is not just to
inform, but also to shape public discourse, safeguard accountability, and
reflect the diverse voices and concerns of the public. This area seems to be
more robust as of now compared to the entertainment area with respect to loss
of job opportunities to SuperAI. This area serves many functions, but some of
the key responsibilities are
(1) gathering and communicating factual, accurate, and
timely information pertaining to matters of public interest at local, national,
as well as international levels. The reporters and journalists have a deep
network among people who are at crucial positions, thereby enabling them to
catch the developing stories in a timely manner. This is fairly an ad hoc and
unpredictable process, making it difficult to automate through use of SuperAI.
However, as the ambient surveillance of the public areas and offices deepens,
SuperAI can get close to capturing the critical news, but it seems long ways
ahead.
(2) Journalists also
keep check on the power. By investigating and exposing corruption, malpractice,
and other wrongdoings, they ensure that the right people and organizations and
even governments are held accountable for their actions in the public interest.
The nature of this work also falls along the same lines as the earlier function
and as such is beyond the scope of SuperAI at the moment.
(3) Journalism also offers a platform for public debate,
ensuring that diverse voices are heard. SuperAI may be able to provide such a
platform, but managing it in a timely and diplomatic manner that involves people
that are inherently unpredictable in nature when provoked can be quite
difficult for SuperAI.
(4) Journalists and editors perform in-depth analyses of
complex issues from scientific innovations to intricate legal and political
matters and also cast their own opinions from their own experiences using their
strong linguistic skills. SuperAI can handle the analysis part, but casting
opinions can be tricky at the moment and may need some more time.
Overall, SuperAI can assist the journalists in gathering
historical facts and consolidating the large research findings but cannot
replace the existing workforce. Public Services Public service offers another
significant piece of pie when it comes to the job market. Some of the roles
described earlier, such as education, legal matters, etc., can also be grouped
under this area. In this section, we will focus on the remaining job profiles.
Health and human services serve as one important aspect of this group. Some of
these roles in this category such as public health officer, social worker,
child protection officer, environmental health specialist, can be in the form
of volunteering, while some are state funded. The job description for most of
these roles is not as defined as most other job profiles we have looked at so
far, even if their ultimate goal is well understood. By nature, these roles are
quite open-ended and as such quite safe from invasion from SuperAI. Another
well-defined category in this area is public safety. Firefighters, police
officers, emergency medical tech (EMT), corrections officer, probation officers
are all part of this category. Most of these roles involve operations that need
a combination of strong physical presence as well as public relations. SuperAI,
along with appropriate robotic machinery, can assist in these operations,
making humans significantly more effective, but they are unlikely to replace
these officers in the near future, except for firefighters. Firefighting seems
to be the top candidate in this category that can be fully replaced with
SuperAI powered robots and automotive machines. This job involves a serious
risk along with fairly routine operations that can be accurately estimated
based on simple visual (camera based) inspection. Transportation is another
important piece of the equation driving a large number of jobs. This is yet
another endangered role that can potentially lose a lot of jobs to SuperAI for
transportation or SuperTransAI. Transportation involves many modes of
transportation such as land based, water based, and air based. In the land
transportation area, all the roles can be consolidated into driving from point
A to point B. It can be truck drivers transporting goods using large
semi-trucks, or it can be bus drivers transporting groups people or children,
or it can be taxi drivers transporting smaller groups of people or individual
commuters. All these roles involve driving the automobile on roads. Some form
of autonomous driving features are being adopted by most cars by the third
decade of the twenty first century such as adaptive cruise control, that can
maintain a constant speed and also apply brakes if the vehicle in front slows
down and regain speed as the situation changes, or emergency stopping system
that detects unexpected pedestrians or objects in the path and apply brakes to
stop the car. Some cars can also maintain the car in the given lane and apply
small tweaks to the steering wheel as needed or even change the lanes
automatically with the press of a button. Combining these features, cars can
almost drive by themselves on freeways. GPS or global positioning system based
on a set of satellites is already integrated into most cars and smartphones
that can provide turn-by[1]turn guidance.
Combining the autonomous driving features listed earlier with GPS system, fully
autonomous vehicles are not too far away. Road intersections can be fitted with
additional sensors and electronic signalling systems to further improve the
accuracy of autonomous driving once the system gets established. Fully
autonomous vehicles can completely change the game and owning a vehicle would
be redundant. Whenever transportation is needed, all that will be needed will
be a smartphone app such as Uber and your car would be made available within a
short time. Carpooling can be optimized, and overall pollution can be reduced
dramatically. Autonomous transportation can also improve the delivery of orders
and also reduce the cost of transportation effectively reducing the cost of
goods. Water-based transportation is likely to be even easier to automate
considering there is much less traffic and unpredictability to handle. Most of
the ships and boats are fitted with an array of sensors capturing data about
the surrounding waters such as depth, presence of fishes and other objects,
underwater mountains and icebergs, etc. They also have comprehensive
communication systems monitoring the weather data as well as information about
other ships in the neighbourhood. Currently, the ratio of the number of
captains required to the number of people a ship can transport is so low, there
is a very low cost associated with keeping the captain’s job to humans, and as
a result, there is much less interest in automating it. However, when push
comes to shove, automating this job seems to be a low hanging fruit for
SuperTransAI. All the other roles on the ship such as engineers, catering and
food[1]related positions,
passenger management positions are already considered in different contexts and
the fate of those roles as described applies here just the same. Then comes the
air-based transportation. The role of pilot is already heavily diluted with
auto-pilot features in most modern planes. These auto pilot features are
already capable of multiple key features in flying the airplane such as
(1) maintaining the aircraft in a specified direction.
(2) Maintaining the aircraft at a specified altitude or
height from the ground.
(3) Raising or lowering the aircraft to a preselected
altitude at a specific rate of climb or descent.
(4) Maintaining the aircraft at a specified speed, either
indicated airspeed or Mach number, depending on altitude.
(5) Going further nuanced, these systems can also change
altitude at a specified speed. The aircraft will climb or descend at the
selected speed until the designated altitude is reached automatically.
(6) Combining these capabilities, an autopilot can also
follow a predetermined route based on waypoints input into the flight
management system (FMS).
(7) Controlling the aircraft’s vertical trajectory to follow
a predefined profile based on altitude constraints at specific waypoints.
(8) Auto landing: In aircraft with advanced autopilot
systems, the autopilot can perform a fully automatic landing, handling the
aircraft during its final approach, touchdown, and even some parts of the
rollout. This is particularly useful in extremely low visibility conditions and
is only used with certain types of instrument approaches.
(9) Traffic Collision Avoidance System (TCAS) Integration:
In some advanced systems, if a traffic conflict arises and a resolution
advisory is issued by TCAS, the autopilot can automatically adjust the
aircraft’s vertical path to avoid the conflict.
In summary, combining all these features with the autopilot
systems as of writing of the book can almost replace the pilots entirely. The
presence of a human pilot is needed only during take-off and just before
landing and that too is not necessary in some conditions. However, these
packages are still in their early stages and need more time to mature. But in
the near future, jobs of pilots definitely appear to be on the verge of
extinction with SuperTransAI ready to take over. So far, we have looked at a
fairly comprehensive list of job profiles across a diverse spectrum of market
and how each of them is going to be impacted with the emergence of SuperAI and
all its variations that we saw. There are still many more nuanced job profiles
we may have missed, but one can easily extrapolate the potential impact of
SuperAI on them based on the discussion so far. In summary, it is quite clear
that SuperAI is going to change the way we look at work and career in general
and we need to adapt to these changing times in a relatively short time. Having
a thorough understanding of the technology that powers this SuperAI would come
in handy in estimating the precise impact of this technology and would help us
prepare for the near-term future with confidence. It is the prime objective of
all the chapters so far to help prepare current and upcoming generations to
embrace SuperAI wholeheartedly, appreciate all the benefits it is going to
offer and work our way with it to make our future a better future, a future
where we not only survive, but thrive living alongside SuperAI and embarking on
an adventurous journey toward a better tomorrow. Ethics and SuperAI “To err is
human, to forgive divine,” English poet Alxander Pope wrote this in his poem in
the context of literary criticism but has become a reference in its own right
in the bigger context of humanity. It emphasizes the fallible nature of
humanity. It states that everyone makes mistakes even with the best of
intentions and best of preparations, and it’s OK to make mistakes. There are
several reasons one can make mistakes such as ignorance, misunderstanding, or misjudgement.
The other aspect of the sentence talks about forgiving. Before going into the
appropriateness of forgiving, we need to look at who is in the position to
forgive or in other words who is impacted by the mistake of bad decision? At
every step of the way, we have options to choose from. Some choices lead to
good things, and some choices can lead to not so good things. The more the
power carried by the individual making the decision, the more is the impact of
the decisions. The bigger the scope of the decision, the larger number of
people impacted by it. If an individual makes a decision in their personal life
(good or bad), only the close friends or relatives may get impacted; if a
senior executive of an organization makes a decision (again good/bad), all the
employees of the organization are impacted accordingly; if a president of a
country makes a decision (good/bad), all the citizens of the country as well as
other countries may get impacted and so on. Coming back to forgiving on a
case-by-case basis, should the friends and relatives of the person forgive them
for the bad decision? Should the employees forgive the executive for their bad
decision? Should all the citizens of affected countries forgive the presidents?
There is no one answer to these questions, and the only reasonable answer is
that it depends. It depends on the type of bad decision; it depends on the
level of impact, and it depends on how far the person has gone from the
guidance of ethics and morality. Ethics or morality is the ultimate compass
that can guide us when the choices overwhelm. It is a study of what is right
and what is wrong. These are the eternal questions that 186 have been with us
since the origin of humankind, since the time our brain has started functioning
and since the time, we became part of the ecosystem that is Earth. The
philosophy of making the appropriate decisions, aka ethics, lies at the core of
all of humanity, and it is the eternal branch of study that we need to keep
evolving with the advancing technology, culture, and daily routines. Till the
times of regular AI machines, the ethical implication of using a piece of
technology would mostly apply to them, but with the new wave of humanlike
SuperAI, we need to revaluate these implications afresh. Capabilities of SuperAI
are going to encompass nearly all the fields of operations and are going to
touch every aspect of humanity in the near future. As such this spread is going
to cross the boundaries of nations, continents, race and religions, gender,
age, and so on. With such a broader scope and the power that accompanies it,
SuperAI should be held appropriately accountable and responsible to the highest
possible standards that are globally applicable. SuperAI is truly going to take
us to the era of Global Earth as one nation and SuperAI as the true global
citizen. The reach of SuperAI is going to flow as electrical signals through
wires or waves, enriching everything in its path. The accountability and
responsibility at global level that comes with it need to be mutually shared
between the individuals or organizations that build the SuperAI and the SuperAI
itself! Yes, make no mistake, the machines involved in delivering SuperAI, can
also be called embodiments of SuperAI, would need to be held accountable just
like humans when involved in making decisions. However, in the early stages,
the organizations that developed and trained the SuperAI machines would share
the bulk of the accountability and responsibility. Before diving into the
details of how the ethics would work, we need to establish the ethical ground
rules that span across all the religions and faiths, and cultures are tightly
integrated with the fabric of human DNA itself.
1. Treat others the way you would like to be treated. This
simple statement can have deep implications including a. Do not cause pain b.
Respect c. Mutual trust d. Honesty e. Compassion f. Above all the paramount
value for life
2. Follow the rules. When a community or civilization is
established, a fundamental set of rules is created to make it successful. As a
part of this community or civilization be part of creating these rules as
needed and then it is important to know and follow the rules.
Always Global SuperAI is going to create an unprecedented
number of opportunities in coming years across all the established workstreams
as discussed earlier in the chapter, where a great many numbers of
organizations, small or large, are going to participate. These organizations
may be located in any corner of the world, let it be a small city in India, a
rural town in China, a suburb in Korea, a village in Europe, an urban area in
Australia, a borough in the African continent, or an American metropolis, make
no mistake, the technology that they are going to build is going to be used on
a global scale. As a result, it’s extremely important to have a global mind-set
in building any technology. The notion of global has many implications, and
let’s look at them one by one.
1. Appreciate cultures: AI systems should be designed to
understand and respect various cultural norms and values spread across the
world. Without a global mind-set, SuperAI systems can inadvertently perpetuate
stereotypes and biases.
2. Be inclusive: If AI is built based on data from a
particular region or demographic only, it is likely to be less effective or
even biased against other groups. A global perspective ensures that diverse
viewpoints and needs are addressed.
3. Equality: There’s a risk that AI technologies could widen
the global divide between the classes. A global mind-set can help in designing
solutions that are affordable and accessible to as many people as possible. To
address these implications, one must invest in technological tools such as:
1. Localization: AI solutions often need to be localized to
fit the specific needs, languages, and regulations of different countries.
Failure to do this can result in ineffective or even harmful applications.
2. Privacy: Different regions have different regulations
regarding data protection (e.g., GDPR in the European Union). A global mind set
is essential for navigating these complex and potentially conflicting
regulations. To ease into developing in such global setup, collaboration is of
paramount importance. Many of the challenges that AI aims to solve are global
in nature (e.g., climate change, healthcare).
A global perspective fosters international collaboration,
pooling resources and expertise. It also helps in understanding geopolitical
issues, regulatory alignment, and so on. Fair and Just Attribution This is yet
another hard problem in the context of ethics that needs to be handled with
care. There are a number of principles that should be followed to ensure that
the AI systems are operating in a fair and just manner.
1. Transparency and accountability: First principle is to ensure
that SuperAI systems are transparent and accountable. This means that it should
be possible to understand how SuperAI systems work and to hold them accountable
for their decisions. This can be done by providing clear documentation of how
SuperAI systems are trained and by using techniques such as explain ability to
make it easier to understand how AI systems make decisions.
2. Removing biases: Another important principle is to avoid
bias in SuperAI systems. This means that SuperAI systems should not be biased
against certain groups of people, such as race, gender, or sexual orientation.
This can be done by using techniques such as debasing to remove bias from
SuperAI systems.
3. Social equality: It is also important to consider the
social impact of SuperAI systems. This means thinking about how SuperAI systems
will be used and how they could impact different groups of people. This can be
done by conducting impact assessments to identify potential risks and benefits
of SuperAI systems.
4. Credit attribution: Finally, it is important to have a
clear and objective process for attributing credit for the work of SuperAI
systems. This means ensuring that the people who create the AI systems as well
as all the individuals and entities that are involved in the creation of the
content and data that is used for training the AI system are properly credited
for their work.
Whenever a patented idea or open-source material is used,
the creators should be properly attributed and acknowledged. In commercial
settings, the attribution would also mean developing a streamlined pipeline for
making appropriate financial arrangements. Honest and Trustworthy The
algorithms that are used to develop the SuperAI systems are quite complex and
the amount of data that they churn through to develop a trained system is
extremely vast. Even a human involved in such arrangements can get mixed up in
the vast complexity and potentially make up things that are not entirely true
and cannot be backed with hard evidence. However, SuperAI systems should be
held at higher standards considering the crucial decisions that they would be
making and the global impact that they would be driving. SuperAI systems should
always be truthful and accurate and should not make up things of their own
(called as hallucination) and represent the real world accurately. They should
not be bearer of false news or claims and mislead people. They should always be
able to support the claims that they make. Consistent honest behaviour
inculcates trust. Here are some principles that would ensure a long-term honest
and trustworthy behaviour from SuperAI systems:
1. Transparency: We looked at the definition of transparency
in earlier parts, but in this case, the transparency from the perspectives of
algorithms and data used in the training is of particular importance. In many
cases, full transparency may not be feasible due to licensing aspects, but the
makers of the SuperAI system should make every effort to provide the full
picture behind the operation of the system to the user.
2. Explain ability: Use of interpretable models is a
starting point for this. Many AI models, including the ones based on neural
networks, 190 may get too complex and, as a result, it may become practically
impossible to identify the reasons behind the predictions or recommendations
generated by them. However, the makers of the SuperAI system should have the explain
ability in mind from start and it should be available to users from day 1.
3. Accountability: We looked at this aspect in the earlier
parts as well, but we need to look at accountability from the technical
perspective in this case. Any SuperAI system, even if trained by exercising all
the precautions, can still make a mistake. In such cases, the system should
take the ownership of the mistake and provide formal channels to report such
errors and provide a path to how it would be mitigated and fixed in future.
Users are aware of the limitations of the system and when the system offers
this level of accountability, it builds trust.
4. Accuracy: The SuperAI system should always be driven
using accurate and real-life sources. There are always cheaper alternatives
with synthetic data, but they should be avoided as and when possible. It also
helps with capturing the real trends in the world and avoid unintended biases
in the system. Also, while marketing the system, the urge for overhyping the
claims should be curbed. One can easily rig the testing frameworks to generate
overly optimistic results, and that should be avoided. Users are ultimately
going to be the real judges and if they observe parity between the claims and
actual performance, the SuperAI system would lose the trust forever.
5. Long-term safeguards: Keeping the details and long-term
logs of system operation are key to keeping the system on track for long term.
These logs help in monitoring the system performance over time as well as
investigate and understand trends in the decisions made by the system.
Continuous monitoring and updating the system and notifying the users about
them would keep the users coming back to the system again and again. Value of
Life Last, but certainly not the least, value of life forms the most complex
and relatively vague aspect of ethics, especially when it comes to application
in AI.
Here is a classic conundrum that illustrates this concept in
the context of self-driving cars. Consider a self-driving car driving down a
road at a reasonably high speed still following the speed limit. Suddenly a
group of children appears on the road crossing the street. What should the car
do? Consider for argument that there is no chance of stopping the car in a
straight line. So, if the car continues straight even with hard application of
brakes it is going to run over the children. The other option is to swerve by
taking a sharp turn. Taking such a turn at the speed the car is going is likely
going to overturn the car killing the occupants. What should the SuperAI
driving the car choose? There seems to be no right answer, as both options have
the potential to result in harm. On the one hand, the car should not be
programmed to kill humans, as this would violate the principle of not harming
humans. On the other hand, the car should also not be programmed to put the
driver and passengers at risk of serious injury or death. Should the system
prioritize the younger children in favour of older driver and passengers, or it
should prioritize the driver and passengers as they are following the basic
traffic rules while the children are the ones breaking them? Either way, the
SuperAI systems of future need to tackle problems like these and come up with
the appropriate response in a matter of milliseconds or microseconds to be able
to make the difference. Here are some additional examples of ethical dilemmas
that SuperAI systems would need to address:
1. Making decisions on choosing who gets organ transplants.
2. Operating a military SuperAI system built for autonomous
warfare in such a way that it only operates against the “bad” guys. 3. Use of
SuperAI to make insurance decisions on who gets approvals for life threatening
diseases while staying within the financial budget. 4. And many more… Conclusion
SuperAI is poised to change the life of humans that we are familiar with in the
twenty first century. The impact is going to be quite pervasive, and it has the
potential to bring monumental changes in our lives. We will really need to
prepare ourselves for this change if we truly want to benefit from it, as it is
going to be rather fast. All the previous chapters leading into this chapter
and this chapter would provide the necessary conceptual background to prepare
ourselves for this change. In the next chapter, we set our focus on a horizon
much farther, approximately a century or two after tomorrow and try to
contemplate how the evolution of machine intelligence can change the way humans
have been living for hundreds of thousands of years since their arrival on
planet Earth. We will evaluate the fundamental principles on which humans have
been building their lives that satisfy their basic needs starting from
hunter-gatherer times all the way till the modern, fully connected urban
cities. We will try to rethink and reimage a better way to organize the socio-political
structure for the future where we share our lives with SuperAI and make the
world a better place and prepare us humans to be the true global citizens of
the planet Earth, ready to be universal citizens and take over the solar system
and beyond!
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