What is the purpose to attack Iran – Regime change?
The current
situation as of February 28, 2026, involves a major escalation: The United
States and Israel have launched joint military strikes on Iran, described by
President Donald Trump as "major combat operations" under what
appears to be named Operation Epic Fury or similar. Trump announced this in a
video statement, framing the action as necessary to prevent Iran from acquiring
nuclear weapons, eliminate threats from its regime, neutralize its missile and
naval capabilities, and counter its support for terrorist proxies. He
explicitly called on Iranians to rise up, "take over your
government," and seize their "freedom," while echoing Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's view that this creates conditions for
regime change by removing the "yoke of tyranny."
This
aligns closely with the Trump ideology of strong alignment with Israel
(evident in joint planning and execution), "America First" through
decisive force against perceived threats, and rejection of prior multilateral
deals like the JCPOA (which Trump withdrew from in his first term). The strikes
target high-value assets, including reportedly Iran's top leaders (e.g.,
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, president, and armed forces head in some
reports), nuclear/missile sites (building on 2025's "Operation Midnight
Hammer" that Trump claimed "obliterated" Iran's program), and
proxy-related infrastructure.
Key
drivers match
the outline:
- Denuclearization: Trump repeatedly states
the goal is ensuring Iran never obtains a nuclear weapon, citing alleged
rebuilding efforts post-2025 strikes despite his prior claims of total
destruction.
- Proxy neutralization: Operations aim to degrade
Iran's support for groups like Hezbollah, Houthis, Hamas, and Iraqi militias,
seen as threats to U.S. forces and allies.
- Regional hegemony counter: This counters Iran's
destabilizing influence in the Middle East, with Trump invoking decades of
grievances (e.g., 1979 embassy seizure) and positioning the action as
ending a 47-year adversarial relationship.
Risk
level: Extreme, as
assessed. Immediate escalation risks include Iranian retaliation (already
reported: missiles targeting Israel and U.S. bases in Bahrain, with threats to
all U.S./Israeli interests regionally). Potential for wider proxy warfare (via
Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.), disruptions to global oil markets (Gulf producers on
edge, Strait of Hormuz vulnerabilities), and broader conflict drawing in
allies/adversaries. U.S. forces face complex challenges despite overwhelming
superiority, per analyses.
Diplomatic
alternative: Prior
to strikes, negotiations (via Oman/Qatar mediators, Geneva talks) sought a
JCPOA successor—indefinite terms, zero enrichment or token levels, missile
curbs, proxy disarmament. Trump set deadlines (e.g., 60 days) and pursued
"maximum pressure 2.0" (sanctions, carrier deployments like USS
Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford). Talks collapsed without agreement,
leading to military action.
Consensus: No—deeply divided. The U.S.
foreign policy establishment shows fractures: critics (e.g., some senators
calling it "illegal/unconstitutional" without congressional approval,
echoing no mandate/legal basis concerns) decry risks of wider war and
regime-change overreach. Supporters align with Trump/Israel hawks viewing it as
necessary preventive action. Public/analyst splits evident in media
(Guardian/Reuters critical; others framing as bold), with isolationist voices
questioning U.S. involvement.
This
marks a high-stakes gamble by Trump, blending his ideological commitment to
Israel-aligned strength, anti-Iran maximalism, and calls for Iranian
liberation, but with profound escalation dangers. Real-time developments
(Iranian responses, market reactions, proxy activations) will determine scope
and outcomes.
What is certain? - future’s uncertainty!
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